Erdoğan’s Dilemma

Imagine you are the leader of a regional power, basking in the glow of global attention to your political and economic success.  You have managed to consolidate your power by outmaneuvering your opponents, most critically the military with its habit of pushing out governments not of its liking.  You are celebrated the world over as a flawed, but transformative and visionary leader of an emerging democracy.  

Now imagine you are faced with the revelation that key parts of the judiciary on which you have relied to accomplish your political transformation are controlled by a mafia that has systematically forged and planted evidence to frame your political opponents. In particular, the signature trial that brought your archenemy, the military, to heel – a mammoth court case in which hundreds of officers are charged with plotting  a coup against you – is based on bogus evidence.  What exactly do you do?

This is exactly the dilemma that Turkey’ Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces at the moment.  

If he goes on with business as usual, Erdoğan will go down in history as a political leader who allowed a grotesque miscarriage of justice to take place under his watch.  If he lets justice prevail he will have to face the rather substantial embarrassment of reversing course on a prosecution he has promoted with great fanfare.

So what does he do?

He could redirect blame to his Gülenist allies who have been the key driving force behind the sham trials. It is Gülen’s disciples in the police, judiciary and media who have launched and stage-managed these trials and bear the lion’s share of responsibility. Certainly Erdoğan would have some justification in claiming that the police and prosecutors have systematically misled him.

But it would take unusual political skill, even for Erdoğan, to wrangle out of his own responsibility. Some of the fabrications are so egregious and amateurish that Erdoğan must have known all along, even if his own narrow circle were not the instigator.  I documented the forgeries used to lock up the officers to one of his senior cabinet members in a private meeting more than a year ago.  Similar information would have reached him from many other sources, not least his senior military leaders.

Erdoğan tightly controls the appointment of senior police officers and members of the judiciary. He could have removed the schemers had he chosen to do so. Instead, he exploited the coup allegations to rally political support, reshape the military hierarchy, and pass constitutional amendments that expanded his powers.

Erdoğan has now painted himself into a corner out of which there is no easy escape.  The path of least resistance will be to let the fraud run its course and stand by as a sham court issues certain convictions. That, however, is the surest way to undermine his future political legacy.       

Erdoğan is arguably the most successful political leader since the Turkish republic’s founder.  But how he enters history books will be determined less by his previous accomplishments than by the choices he makes from this point on.

Comments

[Ian Seda]

My understanding of the Erdogan govt is that it behaves just like the military it supposedly dispises. Plain and simply put, its a fascist govt. It's so funny how he is applauded in the west.

[Account Deleted]

Is it really funny that Erdogan is applauded in the West ?

Besides as far as the Gülen Movement is concerned, why US supports this man who full speed aims to destroy secular system in Turkey.

Could someone tell me why top CIA people supported his visa application together with former US Ambassador and all the so called Turkey experts in US.. The usual henry Barkey, Morton Abromowitz, Makovsky etc..

I had great respect for US and thought it was a leading force in so called free world against communists etc.

Now, it is unfortunate that so many innocent people are in prison as a result of Gülen movements infiltration of the judiciary and police force..
fully supported by US..

By the way almost everyone who was against the intervention in Iraq together with US back in 2003,

[Account Deleted]

The last paragraph should have the following after 2003

..., are now under arrest.

[Account Deleted]

Nogle af de påfund er så ekstreme, og amatøragtig, at Erdogan må have vidst hele tiden,Nike Free Sko selv om hans egen snævre kreds var ikke initiativtager.

[Account Deleted]

My understanding of the Erdogan govt is that it behaves just like the military it supposedly dispises. Plain and simply put, its a fascist govt. It's so funny how he is applauded in the west.
Raf Sistemleri

[buy-sneaker-online]

My understanding of the Erdogan govt is that it behaves just like the military it supposedly dispises. Plain and simply put, its a fascist govt. It's so funny how he is applauded in the west. Adidas Jeremy Scott

[SellHouseNash]

Great post!

SELL YOUR HOUSE NASHVILLE

[Account Deleted]

Hi Dani,
Enjoy To reader your write

Creating History Together With ArenaBetting Piala Eropa 2012

Iklan Internet Murah Efektif Berkualitas Indonesia

Motor Matic Injeksi Irit Harga Murah – Yamaha Mio J

[Toryburch100]

グッチらしい魅力を最大限にアピールするグッチ バッグの感謝キャンペン！機能性とデザイン性兼ね備えるGUCCI トートを最安価格ネット通販！早い者勝ち！

[Account Deleted]

Good articles

Seo

[Yhj Delia]

Thanks for the information about this notebook it will help me more to understand about it.
chnlove

[Blueskyl]

Commercialiser vos produits ou services à votre public cible. Par exemple, Louis Vuitton Lessac? T essayer de vendre un ballon de football dans un magazine de cuisine. Si tu voulais vraiment faire preuve de créativité si, vous pourriez vendre un ballon de football dans un magazine de cuisine. Juste offrir un livre de recettes gratuit avec chaque achat. La personne pourrait penser,?-Je obtenir le livre et je vous donnerai le football à mon fils ou un mari.?

[Yhj Delia]

Very Useful information , this is both good reading for, have quite a few good key points, and I learn some new stuff from it too, thanks for sharing your information.idateasia

[Account Deleted]

Organization procedure control is a natural control approach focused on looking all aspects of an company with the wants and needs of customers and Brochure Printing. It encourages company performance and performance while determined for growth.

[Berta Hargrove]

Most men have a one-track mind when it involves gender—getting to their own climax. Thinking of your partner is more than merely participating in foreplay. During sexual intercourse, rather than thrusting forward to your own orgasm, attempt to target her erogenous zones whereas finding a method to manually stimulate her arousal. Just follow the information so you will be ready to extend your ejaculation quantity. With practice and self-management, you'll be able to have your partner experience a climax that she has not known before.

http://www.howtolastlongerinbed4men.com/

[terryj]

Today's politicians no longer care about going down in history. Instead, they'll do anything to generate a huge turnout of voters supporting them.

[Account Deleted]

My understanding of the Erdogan govt is that it behaves just like the military it supposedly dispises. Plain and simply put, its a fascist govt. It's so funny how he is applauded in the west. seo

[Dbyoyokaa]

Nice post which make me think a lot! chnlove scam

[Veysel Kara]

Great post!
Temizlik Temizlik şirketleri Temizlik firmaları

[D]

Finally, the wife of yours threatened you with a divorce, yeah, Prof.Rodrick? "Get my daddy out of the jail I'll dump your ass in a NY second."

[D]

How will Prime Minister enter into the history books? You do not need to worry about that. He established himself a long time ago as the most successul leader of Turkey since 1923 superseeding Turgut Ozal and not Mustafa Kemal.

[Lolkplease]

You really have made me think with this article. I will have to check out the rest of your blog. Thanks! clips

[Paracord Projects]

Everyone loves what you guys are doing. Keep up the excellent works guys, I've added you to our preferences.

Newborn care
is not really very easy to any or all. It is an ability with the moms and dads especially mom to understand how you can look after newborn.
Child care is some thing you never be concerned in relation to. Only you have to understand a few tips approach give food to the child, ways to get your pet to sleep and just how to calm him if this individual starts crying and moping. When you get a little bit of training upon these topics installed have to think very much about this. The most crucial component is how you can feed your own little baby according to http://gobabycare.com/pages/organic-baby-food .

[Kitapracom]

Thanks for this information. ucuz oyuncak

[D]

So appreciate for teaching me a lot! charmingdate

[cheapdresslily]

Really your post is really very good and I appreciate it. It’s hard to sort the good from the bad sometimes, but I think you’ve nailed it.

china clothing store online

[Yhj Delia]

I am really impressed by this blog! Very clear explanation of issues is given and it is open to everyone. thanks for posting this work of yours..this is very good!article directory

[俊]

Very Useful information , quite a few good key points.

www.hqew.net

[Ergenekon]

How will Erdogan enter history books? Very successful if you call success what Hitler had accomplished too in managing and driving ignorance to go his own way. Otherwise no doubt he will be trashed as another nuisance having confronted arts, intellect, justice and honesty in all his conduct.

[Ojal Madhavi]

He might contain detached the plotter had he selected to do so. in its place, he browbeaten the coup claim to rally following hold help with paper....

[Broad Paul]

Laura Ashley, Inc., also had a booming catalogue business. The designer has risen from her modest London apartment to head an entire home furnishings empire. student accommodation london

[Islerguclerizle]

Thanks for sharing this information its really nice

işler güçler izle
işler güçler
işler güçler dizi bölümleri
işler güçler 720p izle
işler güçler HD izle
işler güçler izle
işler güçler tek parça izle
işler güçler hangi gün yayınlanıyor
işler güçler son bölüm izle
işler güçler hd izle

[Ojal Madhavi]

Surely Erdoğan would have a number of good reasons in claim that the law enforcement and prosecutors have thoroughly mislead him term.

[Allen Wise]

The path of least resistance will be to let the fraud run its course and stand by as a sham court issues certain convictions. That, however, is the surest way to undermine his future political legacy.

[Jimmy Jam]

That, however, is the surest way to undermine his future political legacy. video seo

[Tuğçe Yılmaz]

Nice post which make me think a lot! Böcek ilaçlama | ilaçlama şirketleri | ilaçlama

[Calvin Brock]

If he goes on with business as usual, Erdoğan will go down in history as a political leader who allowed a grotesque miscarriage of justice to take place under his watch. Sección Amarilla

[Okadapter]

good post The path of least resistance will be to let the fraud run its course and standBT140GW01 LCD Screen
LP154W01 LCD Screen
LP154WX4 LCD Screen
LCD Screen

[Jerry John]

They should take up building BVLGARI Watches dams for power generation. We should FRANCK MULLER watches learn from china. china manufacturing

[TeklifReyonu]

thank you very much

casus kulaklık

[Parfumcoupon]

I think he will be a big problem in the future for europe and the world.

Gutschein Front

[Okadapter]

laptop ac adapter
laptop lcd screenDell Laptop AC AdaptersHP Laptop AC Adapters

Compaq Laptop AC Adaptersgood post

[Okadapter]

Dell XPS M1330 PA-21 Adapter
Dell Inspiron 1545 Adapter
Dell PA-21 Adapter
Dell Latitude D820 AC Adapter
Dell Latitude D620 Adapter

[Okadapter]

Dell Inspiron E1505 AC Adapter
Dell Inspiron 1501 AC Adapter
Dell Inspiron 6400 AC Adapter
dell inspiron 1525 ac adapter
dell inspiron 1520 ac adapter

[Okadapter]

Acer Aspire 3000 ac adapter
Acer Aspire 3500 ac adapter
Dell Inspiron 1000 ac adapter
Dell Inspiron 1300 ac adapter
Dell Inspiron 2200 ac adapter

[Rastia Rigie]

Bank Mandiri Bank Terbaik di Indonesia
Bank Mandiri Bank Terbaik di Indonesia
Promo Bonus 100% Sbobet, Ibcbet dan Casino Online Dalam Rangka HUT BAVETLINE Yang Kedua
Masterbet88 Grand Opening Promo Bonus 50% Sportsbook dan Casino Online

[Account Deleted]

Good, verry good blog and article!

Seo

[Kinsell Emma]

Good post.thank you for sharing.
Ultrabook Parts|AU AC Adapters|Global AC Adapter|Ersatz Laptop Akkus

[penny]

i like this post.I hope you can share more interesting information.
eMachine ACアダプター
gateway laptop adapter
Fonte Notebook Toshiba

[Okadapter]

HP Pavilion DV6000 ac adapter
HP Pavilion DV9000 ac adapter
HP Pavilion DV6500 adapter
HP Pavilion DV8000 ac adapter
HP PPP009H ac adapter
hp Pavilion dv1000 adapter
hp pavilion dv4000 ac adapter
hp pavilion dv5000 adapter
hp pavilion zv5000 adapter
hp pavilion zd7000 adapter

[M Asad]

You know friends what is the most important uniqueness in this article. Sources, yes sources are the main headline of this article in which everything has been proved with verified links.

How To Learn Quran
Quran Teaching

[Okadapter]

Dell Inspiron 9200 ac adapter
Dell Inspiron 9300 ac adapter
Dell Inspiron 9400 ac adapter
Dell Inspiron B130 ac adapter
Dell Inspiron e1705 ac adapter

[Okadapter]

HP Pavilion DV4 AC Adapter
hp pavilion DV5 ac adapter
hp pavilion DV6 ac adapter

[Okadapter]

Dell XPS M1330 ac Adapter
Dell Latitude D620 ac Adapter
Dell Inspiron E1505 Adapter
Dell Inspiron 1501 Adapter
Dell Inspiron 6400 Adapter

[Faraz Maqsood]

Quran Teaching - Learn quran online at home and quran learning with tajweed. Read Quran learning classes for kids, muslims from online quran tutor.
Quran Teaching

[Dindin Zamaludin]

Bahaya Impotensi Akibat Merokok - Impotensi merupakan dua kali lebih mungkin terjadi pada perokok dibandingkan non-perokok. Paparan asap tangan kedua adalah faktor yang signifikan dalam menjadi impoten.
Impotensi adalah ketidakmampuan konstan seorang pria untuk mempertahankan anerection untuk tujuan seksual. Diperkirakan impotensi affectsover 30 juta orang di Amerika Serikat.

[Dindin Zamaludin]

Cara Mengatasi Penyakit Vertigo Secara Alami – Sementara beberapa saran untuk pengobatan vertigo dapat ditemukan, sebagian besar tidak efektif. Banyak kasus vertigo sembuh secara spontan dalam beberapa hari, yang dapat mempromosikan keyakinan bahwa obat herbal tertentu bermanfaat dalam menyelesaikan gejala penyakit vertigo.

[Dindin Zamaludin]

Suplemen Untuk Tulang Dan Sendi - Ada beberapa cara yang dapat dilakukan untuk mengobati penyakit kaku dan nyeri sendi, salah satunya adalah dengan mengkonsumsi suplemen yang memiliki kandungan nutrisi untuk tulang rawan dan sendi. Triflex Capsule adalah suplemen untuk tulang dan sendi yang direkomendasikan untuk mengatasi kaku, nyeri sendi dan menghilangkan sakit pinggang karena terbuat dari kombinasi nutrisi lengkap sehingga dapat langsung bekerja untuk memperbaiki tulang rawan dan sendi yang rusak. Obat herbal ini juga dapat digunakan untuk mencegah dan menyembuhkan asam urat jika dikonsumsi secara teratur.