This is my current obsession. Many if not most cases of rapid economic growth take place under undervalued currencies. Look for example at the cases of China and India in the accompanying charts. But the phenomenon is much more general, and extends to other countries as well. The question is why. I am writing a paper that explores these issues.
Dear Professor,
The world does need another economist's blog, if it is Dani Rodrik's blog. So... please, keep on writing. I'm looking forward to hear about your paper on exchange rates and economic growth (by the way, I am a long-date supporter of your criticisms of the Washington Consensus). I'm working on current account global imbalances, that is why I am so interested in your opinion about such an issue (in general... any Rodrik's preference for their short-term governance?).
Posted by: Mario | April 24, 2007 at 06:28 PM
My first question would be whether or not rapid economic growth is accompanied by rapid urbanization.
We accept that increasing returns are a part of the story behind cities. IF during periods of rapid national growth there is rapid urbanization then the increasing returns story should push through to the national level.
If this is the case the purposeful devaluation of the currency should be able to stimulate growth - at least on the path from non-urban to urban.
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