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September 09, 2010

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That was an interesting essay over at Project Syndicate. I have one question:

-"Instead, too many developing countries have allowed their currencies to become overvalued, relying on booming commodity demand or financial inflows."-

What do you think are the reasons for this? Short-term political stability from the money and jobs from focusing on resource growth? The need to walk a tight-line between using currency to make their economies competitive, and avoiding driving off potential international investors worried about the de-valuing of their investments?

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the arguement is quite interesting and this has been going on for years together whether chinese need to revalue their yuan.logically they need to becoz america or west alone cant shoulder the consumption which is needed for economic growth.helmut reisen arguement would have won had china consumed more than what it does now i dont think it is reflected in the exchange reserve or in its trade surplus.only benefecieries of chinese boom have been rich commodity producers of australia and brasil.no poor country has taken part in this boom.if world has to get back to an economic growth it needs china for that it needs to revalue its yuan to make imports attractive and import more of american and european goods so that more jobs are created there which will provide an even keel to the global prosperity.

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Below you find the link to the OECD Development Centre Working Paper # 292.
Dani's argument about low-quality growth triggered by China's demand has merits, but had poor countries the choice in view of the integration of 2 bn people into the market economy since the late 1980s?
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/22/55/45950256.pdf

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I do see structural transformation as essential to long term development but idn't there still a way up and out through agricultural/commodity goods--riding along the RMB wave (for the time being)?

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