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July 20, 2007

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paine

dani

i'm sick of agreeing with you

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paine

why i read this blog every day

"If the bicycle theory were true, most countries would have long ago driven a protectionist train right through the anti-dumping provisions of the GATT/WTO, a set of rules expressly designed to provide protection where none is needed."

save_the_rustbelt

I happened to be passing Saginaw Michigan today, and jumped off of I-75 and took a quick tour.

If this is the bounty of globalization we had better stop signing trade deals for awhile. Very grim, and the worst is not over, as the offshoring of auto parts work is just getting started.

Saginaw is paradise compared to Flint.

save_the_rustbelt

I happened to be passing Saginaw Michigan today, and jumped off of I-75 and took a quick tour.

If this is the bounty of globalization we had better stop signing trade deals for awhile. Very grim, and the worst is not over, as the offshoring of auto parts work is just getting started.

Saginaw is paradise compared to Flint.

save_the_rustbelt

I happened to be passing Saginaw Michigan today, and jumped off of I-75 and took a quick tour.

If this is the bounty of globalization we had better stop signing trade deals for awhile. Very grim, and the worst is not over, as the offshoring of auto parts work is just getting started.

Saginaw is paradise compared to Flint.

Dan Drezner

Dani, give me a break. I did not use the bicycle metaphor -- instead, I cited the Kono 2006 APSR paper, which is not a metaphor. It has, you know, things like a formal model and actual data, showing that protectionism is likely to take more obscure forms in democratic societies.

I agree with you that the days of Smoot-Hawley are not close. And you are probably less bothered by creeping protectionism than I am. Simply denying its existence by claiming I used a metaphor, though.... well, that's just bad social science.

A final question, Dani -- do you believe that political balance of interests favors an open economy in the United States?

Dani Rodrik

Dan --

Yes, I do. Don't you?

Dani Rodrik

Paine --

If you are a Marxist, what does that make me?

Thanks for your continuing support and delightful (yet informed) verse.

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I am new to this kind of blog. I stumbled up it and have enjoyed reading all. Thank You and I will be visiting often.

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Came across this one a search for cycling, but feel I have something to add.

It's incredibly easy to add a metaphor to a given situation, it's incredibly hard to have that metaphor hold true in all possible situations. Which makes most metaphors, like basically useless.

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I found this site by accidents. Metaphors are useless periods..

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The notion that if you start putting a few chinks on the existing trade policy architecture, you end up back in the 1930s is quite implausible--and totally unsupported by any empirical evidence that I know of. If the bicycle theory were true, most countries would have long ago driven a protectionist train right through the anti-dumping provisions of the GATT/WTO, a set of rules expressly designed to provide protection where none is needed.http://www.buyaionkinah.com/aion-us.html

The theory has been used to justify why there had to be a succession of trade negotiation rounds at the GATT/WTO. And now it is used to fend off the argument that further trade liberalization may not be an important priority for the world economy given how open it already is: you need to keep liberalizing, otherwise you risk giving up all the gains.http://www.buyaionkinah.com/aion-power-leveling-us.html

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Protectionism in the US is practised with regularity... zeroing and agricultural policies and intellectual property rights... these assumption juggler free traders better get coherent if they are to make sense especially since few are dogged neoliberals anymore, simply shocking

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